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Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit

2.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.8%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 55.3%Based on 2.7K games
0%53.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 55.3%
Outcome Distribution
51.9%3.7%44.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g4
Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit
Analyzen=2.7K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 55.3%), based on 2.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.7% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 52% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (13 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.6% win rate (25 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.8% win rate (40 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.7% win rate (44 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.2% win rate (166 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.8% win rate (360 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (759 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (972 games)
  • 2500+: 55.0% win rate (332 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (53%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (1,339 games)
  • Blitz: 52.5% win rate (1,243 games)
  • Rapid: 52.7% win rate (121 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (6 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (102 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (102 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (236 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (340 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (384 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (526 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (424 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (291 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (332 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.5%) outperforms Rapid (52.7%) by -0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit?

The Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 166 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-58.1%) win rate for white, based on 360 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 759 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 972 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 332 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.1%-53.6%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-54.8%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-60.0%) win rate for white (121 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Spielmann Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.