TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit

48K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.1%Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.5%Based on 48K games
0%53.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.5%
Outcome Distribution
51.2%3.8%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.g4
Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit
Analyzen=48K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 53.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.7% and 53.5%), based on 48K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.8% win rate (463 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (467 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (766 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.7% win rate (1,562 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.6% win rate (5,251 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.1% win rate (11,192 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.1% win rate (15,999 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.1% win rate (11,390 games)
  • 2500+: 53.0% win rate (1,402 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.8% win rate (38 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (13,868 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (30,710 games)
  • Rapid: 52.0% win rate (3,748 games)
  • Classical: 53.7% win rate (128 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (221 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (119 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (106 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (240 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (114 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (207 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (358 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (188 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (382 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (926 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (240 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (1,677 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (3,094 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (452 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (2,838 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (7,353 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (952 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 69.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (3,585 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (11,182 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (1,186 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.1% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (4,097 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (6,802 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (485 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (856 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (534 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 94.5% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Continuations (1)
Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit, Tate Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 48K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (5.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.2%) outperforms Classical (53.7%) by -2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit?

The Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 43.8% (90% CI: 40.0%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 463 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.0%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 467 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.9%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 766 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.7%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.3%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-60.8%) win rate for white (128 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Krejcik Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.