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Dutch Defense: Krause Variation

9.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 54.2%Based on 9.5K games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 54.2%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%4.0%44.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nc6
Dutch Defense: Krause Variation
Analyzen=9.5K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 54.2%), based on 9.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 53% → 64%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.5% win rate (226 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.6% win rate (525 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.9% win rate (1,038 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.4% win rate (1,550 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (1,912 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (1,991 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.3% win rate (1,479 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (724 games)
  • 2500+: 63.5% win rate (67 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 50.7% win rate (3,946 games)
  • Blitz: 51.7% win rate (4,485 games)
  • Rapid: 53.0% win rate (1,029 games)
  • Classical: 45.5% win rate (48 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (70 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (121 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (191 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (254 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (79 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (482 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.2% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (650 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (711 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (184 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (685 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (978 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (233 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (709 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (1,045 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (218 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (694 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (672 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (110 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (494 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (209 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 66.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.8% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Krause Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 63.5% win rate for white (67 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.7%) outperforms Bullet (50.7%) by 1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 226 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 525 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 724 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.0%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.9%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-55.6%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.