What is the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.7%), based on 44K Lichess games.
44K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.9% and 51.7%), based on 44K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 50% → 46%
Best in Rapid (51%), worst in Classical (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 44K rated games from Lichess.
The Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (50.5%) outperforms Classical (44.9%) by 5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 970 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 46.4% (90% CI: 42.4%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 418 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 9.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.8%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.
In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.7%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.4%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack has a 44.9% (90% CI: 40.0%-49.9%) win rate for white (269 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.
The Dutch Defense: Korchnoi Attack is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.