586 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.6% and 52.4%), based on 586 Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 37% → 54%
Best in Classical (56%), worst in Blitz (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 586 rated games from Lichess.
The Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.2% win rate for white (292 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (49.2%) outperforms Blitz (45.0%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a 41.3% (90% CI: 34.7%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a 48.2% (90% CI: 43.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 292 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a 48.4% (90% CI: 40.4%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 105 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a 49.2% (90% CI: 42.8%-55.7%) win rate for white (162 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.9%-49.1%) win rate for white (395 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.
The Dutch Defense: Hort-Antoshin System is slightly favors black with a 46.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.