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Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack

397K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.0%Range (90% confident): 55.8% – 56.1%Based on 397K games
0%56.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.8% – 56.1%
Outcome Distribution
54.0%4.0%42.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Bg5
Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack
Analyzen=397K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 56.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.8% and 56.1%), based on 397K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.3% win rate (4,510 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.1% win rate (7,396 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.4% win rate (15,986 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.7% win rate (35,509 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.3% win rate (71,872 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.4% win rate (108,182 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.5% win rate (94,273 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.6% win rate (52,381 games)
  • 2500+: 50.6% win rate (7,311 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~56%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.5% win rate (914 games)
  • Bullet: 53.4% win rate (137,813 games)
  • Blitz: 54.0% win rate (215,826 games)
  • Rapid: 55.3% win rate (40,897 games)
  • Classical: 56.3% win rate (1,970 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (1,156 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (2,061 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (1,246 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (2,431 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (3,647 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (1,247 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (5,392 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (8,198 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (2,226 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.6% expected score (222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (12,181 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (18,414 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (4,440 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 66.8% expected score (252 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.5% expected score (304 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (24,898 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (38,309 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (7,910 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (451 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (209 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (34,186 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (61,077 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (11,993 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (717 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (30,711 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (54,286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (8,903 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.7% expected score (326 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (21,986 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (27,485 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (2,846 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (4,872 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (2,349 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (86 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 397K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 56.4% win rate for white (16K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (55.5%) by -0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack?

The Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.0%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.1%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.7%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 55.7% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 54.3% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 108K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 13.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 55.5% (90% CI: 52.8%-58.2%) win rate for white (914 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.6%) win rate for white (138K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.2%) win rate for white (216K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.7%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack has a 56.3% (90% CI: 54.4%-58.1%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Hopton Attack is statistically favors white with a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.