Danish Gambit Accepted
2.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
42.5%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.
Measured over 2.1M games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 2.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.1M games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 2.1M
- Best context
- 49.1% at 0-999 Rapid
- Worst context
- 39.8% at 2200-2499 Rapid
- Average game length
- 30 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 97.1%
- Draws
- 2.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 46.0% at 0-999, 48.9% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.8% expected score (33 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (21,753 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (31,018 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (11,143 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (82 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.6% expected score (54 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (43,801 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (92,628 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (26,252 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (299 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 29.3% expected score (105 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (73,279 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (210,207 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (64,803 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (1,164 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (205 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (90,400 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (303,339 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (104,945 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (4,188 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.5% expected score (88 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (87,185 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (323,700 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (112,636 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (4,586 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 23.6% expected score (25 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (71,268 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (223,759 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (68,627 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (1,740 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (39,823 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (70,050 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (19,432 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (264 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (19,667 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (8,903 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (1,621 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (2,435 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (163 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (3 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Danish Gambit Accepted scores 42.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 42.4% and 42.5% — from 2.1M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 2.1M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate?
Playing the Danish Gambit Accepted, Black wins 41.0%, draws 2.9% and loses 56.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.5%. It rests on 2.1M rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Danish Gambit Accepted perform best?
The Danish Gambit Accepted performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 46.2% (64K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Danish Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Danish Gambit Accepted scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 42.4% in Blitz (1.3M games) against 42.8% in Rapid (409K games).
How sharp is the Danish Gambit Accepted?
The Danish Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 44.8%, draws 2.7% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 64K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 42.0%, draws 2.4% and loses 55.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.3%. It rests on 163K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 41.4%, draws 2.5% and loses 56.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.7%. It rests on 350K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 40.9%, draws 2.7% and loses 56.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.3%. It rests on 503K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 40.5%, draws 3.0% and loses 56.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.0%. It rests on 528K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 40.3%, draws 3.3% and loses 56.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.0%. It rests on 365K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 40.5%, draws 3.8% and loses 55.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.4%. It rests on 130K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 41.8%, draws 4.1% and loses 54.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.9%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 39.6%, draws 5.7% and loses 54.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.5%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 35.7%, draws 0.7% and loses 63.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 36.1%. It rests on 532 Lichess games.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 41.3%, draws 2.0% and loses 56.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.3%. It rests on 450K Lichess games.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 40.8%, draws 3.1% and loses 56.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.4%. It rests on 1.3M Lichess games.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 41.0%, draws 3.5% and loses 55.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.8%. It rests on 409K Lichess games.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 41.6%, draws 3.9% and loses 54.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.6%. It rests on 12K Lichess games.
Is the Danish Gambit Accepted a good opening?
The Danish Gambit Accepted is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 41.0% of its games and loses 56.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.