Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense
7.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
46.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.1%.
Measured over 7.2K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 7.2K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 7.2K
- Best context
- 47.2% at 1600-1799 Blitz
- Worst context
- 45.5% at 1800-1999 Blitz
- Average game length
- 33 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.6%
- Draws
- 3.4%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 50.4% at 0-999, 60.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.4% expected score (43 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.5% expected score (77 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (108 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (244 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (304 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.9% expected score (41 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (302 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (802 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (145 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (483 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (1,327 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (308 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (420 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (1,208 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.0% expected score (231 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (312 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (397 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (74 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (168 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (91 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (41 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 46.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 45.2% and 47.1% — from 7.2K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 7.2K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games before we will say where it stops working. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate?
The Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 46.1% (range, 90% confident: 45.2% – 47.1%) for Black, based on 7.2K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense perform best?
The Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense performs best at 1600-1799, where it scores 48.0% for Black (2.1K games). It tends to score less at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, Blitz (46.5%) outperforms Rapid (44.8%). Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense?
The Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 46.7% (range, 90% confident: 41.0% – 52.3%) for Black, based on 208 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 44.3% (range, 90% confident: 41.0% – 47.7%) for Black, based on 596 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 45.0% (range, 90% confident: 42.7% – 47.3%) for Black, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 48.0% (range, 90% confident: 46.2% – 49.8%) for Black, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 44.6% (range, 90% confident: 42.7% – 46.5%) for Black, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 47.2% (range, 90% confident: 44.3% – 50.1%) for Black, based on 784 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 46.3% (range, 90% confident: 41.3% – 51.3%) for Black, based on 264 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 45.9% (range, 90% confident: 44.1% – 47.7%) for Black (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 46.5% (range, 90% confident: 45.3% – 47.8%) for Black (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 44.8% (range, 90% confident: 42.0% – 47.6%) for Black (838 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense a good opening?
The Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White with a 52.2% (range, 90% confident: 51.2% – 53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.