Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense
7.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
46.1%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.1%.
Measured over 7.2K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 7.2K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 7.2K
- Best context
- 47.3% at 1600-1799 Blitz
- Worst context
- 45.5% at 1800-1999 Blitz
- Average game length
- 33 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.6%
- Draws
- 3.4%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 50.4% at 0-999, 60.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.4% expected score (43 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.5% expected score (77 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (108 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (244 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (304 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.9% expected score (41 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (302 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (802 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (145 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (483 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (1,327 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (308 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (420 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (1,208 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.0% expected score (231 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (312 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (397 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (74 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (168 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (91 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (41 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores 46.1% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 45.2% and 47.1% — from 7.2K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 7.2K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate?
Playing the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense, Black wins 44.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 7.2K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense perform best?
The Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense performs best for Black at 1600-1799, with an Expected Score of 48.0% (2.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 46.5% in Blitz (4.3K games) against 44.8% in Rapid (838 games).
How sharp is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense?
The Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.1%, draws 1.2% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 208 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 42.6%, draws 3.4% and loses 54.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.3%. It rests on 596 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 43.7%, draws 2.6% and loses 53.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.0%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.0%, draws 3.9% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 43.1%, draws 3.0% and loses 53.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.0%, draws 4.4% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 784 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 43.9%, draws 4.7% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 264 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 44.8%, draws 2.1% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 44.5%, draws 3.9% and loses 51.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.5%. It rests on 4.3K Lichess games.
What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 42.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.8%. It rests on 838 Lichess games.
Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense a good opening?
The Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 44.4% of its games and loses 52.2%. It performs best at 1600-1799. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.