TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense

433K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score42.2%Range (90% confident): 42.1% – 42.3%Based on 433K games
0%42.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.1% – 42.3%
Outcome Distribution
40.8%2.7%56.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bb4+
Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense
Analyzen=433K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 42.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.1% and 42.3%), based on 433K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 98.5 · Trap factor: +13.0 · n=433K

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 39% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.2% win rate (6,416 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.7% win rate (18,621 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.0% win rate (46,818 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.8% win rate (82,228 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.6% win rate (118,825 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.5% win rate (108,443 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.4% win rate (43,690 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.7% win rate (7,277 games)
  • 2500+: 45.6% win rate (280 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.7% win rate (12 games)
  • Bullet: 41.3% win rate (83,351 games)
  • Blitz: 40.8% win rate (265,600 games)
  • Rapid: 40.4% win rate (81,097 games)
  • Classical: 42.1% win rate (2,538 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 38.4% expected score (1,962 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (2,897 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (1,536 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (4,831 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (10,358 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (3,386 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.0% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (9,499 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (28,429 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (8,687 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.6% expected score (200 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (15,431 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (49,829 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (16,256 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.2% expected score (712 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.5% expected score (19,318 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (75,586 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (22,969 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (947 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (18,141 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (69,974 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (19,788 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (540 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (9,815 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (25,964 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.4% expected score (7,846 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (65 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (4,108 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (2,539 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (620 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (246 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Danish Gambit Accepted
56.1%
Variations (4)
Danish Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense
56.3%
Danish Gambit Accepted: Schlechter Defense
47.4%
Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense
56.3%
Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense
52.2%
Analyze Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 56.5% (90% CI: 56.3%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 433K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense perform best?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 58.1% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.9%) outperforms Classical (54.2%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 58.4% (90% CI: 57.4%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 58.1% (90% CI: 57.5%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 57.6% (90% CI: 57.2%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 57.7% (90% CI: 57.5%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 82K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 56.7% (90% CI: 56.4%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 119K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.3%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 108K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 44.3%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 280 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 56.9% (90% CI: 56.6%-57.2%) win rate for white (83K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 56.4% (90% CI: 56.2%-56.5%) win rate for white (266K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 56.4% (90% CI: 56.1%-56.6%) win rate for white (81K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-55.8%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense a good opening?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense is statistically favors white with a 56.5% (90% CI: 56.3%-56.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.