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Analyzer

Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense

90K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score42.5%Range (90% confident): 42.3% – 42.8%Based on 90K games
0%42.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.3% – 42.8%
Outcome Distribution
41.3%2.5%56.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Qe7
Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense
Analyzen=90K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.5%

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 42.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.3% and 42.8%), based on 90K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.4% win rate (2,033 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.7% win rate (6,508 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.1% win rate (15,032 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.1% win rate (23,096 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.2% win rate (24,310 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.1% win rate (14,840 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.4% win rate (4,021 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.5% win rate (460 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (24 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (42%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 42.1% win rate (13,033 games)
  • Blitz: 41.1% win rate (55,205 games)
  • Rapid: 41.3% win rate (21,299 games)
  • Classical: 41.5% win rate (781 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (629 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,037 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (365 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (1,384 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (3,854 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (1,255 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (2,299 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (9,269 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (3,371 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (93 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (3,110 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (14,099 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (5,562 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (320 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (2,575 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (15,079 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.2% expected score (6,368 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.0% expected score (288 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (1,963 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (9,284 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (3,538 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.1% expected score (55 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (841 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (2,381 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (790 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (210 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.6% expected score (200 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Danish Gambit Accepted
56.1%
Variations (4)
Danish Gambit Accepted: Copenhagen Defense
56.5%
Danish Gambit Accepted: Classical Defense
56.3%
Danish Gambit Accepted: Schlechter Defense
47.4%
Danish Gambit Accepted: Svenonius Defense
52.2%
Analyze Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 90K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense perform best?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 57.3% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (56.4%) outperforms Classical (54.9%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 56.6% (90% CI: 56.1%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 57.3% (90% CI: 56.8%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 57.3% (90% CI: 56.7%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.0%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 55.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 460 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 56.5% (90% CI: 55.8%-57.2%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 56.4% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.7%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.5%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense has a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.0%-57.8%) win rate for white (781 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

Is the Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense a good opening?

The Danish Gambit Accepted: Chigorin Defense is statistically favors white with a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.