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Analyzer

Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit

120 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 39.4% – 54.2%Based on 120 games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 39.4% – 54.2%
Outcome Distribution
44.0%5.3%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit
Analyzen=120
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit has a 46.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 39.4% and 54.2%), based on 120 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 23%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.8% win rate (5 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.5% win rate (17 games)
  • 1800-1999: 35.5% win rate (14 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.1% win rate (26 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.1% win rate (45 games)
  • 2500+: 23.1% win rate (5 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (50%), worst in Rapid (12%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 38.2% win rate (26 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (81 games)
  • Rapid: 12.0% win rate (11 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Catalan Opening
50.9%
Variations (5)
Catalan Opening: Closed
51.4%
Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Classical Line
50.2%
Catalan Opening: Open Defense
52.4%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
56.3%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Traditional Variation
52.1%
Analyze Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit win rate?

The Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 120 rated games from Lichess.

How sharp is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit?

The Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

Is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit a good opening?

The Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit is slightly favors black with a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-58.0%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.