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Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation

372 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.7%Range (90% confident): 40.5% – 48.9%Based on 372 games
0%44.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 40.5% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
41.4%6.6%52.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
10...Ba6
Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation
Analyzen=372
Avg Length41 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.6%

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation has a 44.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 40.5% and 48.9%), based on 372 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.3% win rate (24 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.7% win rate (22 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (90 games)
  • 2200-2499: 36.3% win rate (146 games)
  • 2500+: 37.4% win rate (80 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in Classical (20%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 37.8% win rate (140 games)
  • Blitz: 43.1% win rate (211 games)
  • Rapid: 48.8% win rate (20 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199————
1200-1399————
1400-1599————
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 33.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (94 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Catalan Opening
50.9%
Variations (5)
Catalan Opening: Closed
51.4%
Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Classical Line
50.2%
Catalan Opening: Open Defense
52.4%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
56.3%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Traditional Variation
52.1%
Analyze Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation win rate?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 372 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation perform best?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.9% win rate for white (146 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.9%) outperforms Blitz (49.2%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation has a sharpness score of 93.4 (decisive), meaning 93.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 41 moves.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-62.6%) win rate for white, based on 146 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation has a 56.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-63.7%) win rate for white (140 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 43.6%-54.8%) win rate for white (211 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation a good opening?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation is statistically balanced with a 52.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-56.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.