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Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit

310K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 54.2%Based on 310K games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 54.2%
Outcome Distribution
52.3%3.5%44.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.f3
Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit
Analyzen=310K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 54.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.9% and 54.2%), based on 310K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +11.0% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 52% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.6% win rate (2,923 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.5% win rate (8,403 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.6% win rate (19,785 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.6% win rate (38,839 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.6% win rate (60,064 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.1% win rate (78,871 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.2% win rate (62,835 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.7% win rate (33,533 games)
  • 2500+: 54.0% win rate (4,897 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.6% win rate (1,095 games)
  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (117,302 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (148,733 games)
  • Rapid: 52.1% win rate (41,768 games)
  • Classical: 51.8% win rate (1,252 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (1,236 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (1,310 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (374 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (3,085 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (4,131 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (1,168 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (6,484 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (10,170 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (3,033 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (10,584 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (21,147 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (6,764 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.6% expected score (550 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (16,039 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (31,241 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (11,844 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (390 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (115 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (23,997 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (42,431 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (11,854 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (474 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (113 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (27,345 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (29,555 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (5,643 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (23,916 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (8,476 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (1,085 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (4,616 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.8% expected score (272 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 310K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (39K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.6%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-53.1%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.5%) win rate for white (117K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white (149K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.5%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-54.1%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Rasa-Studier Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.