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Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense

6.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.1%Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 59.1%Based on 6.7K games
0%58.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 59.1%
Outcome Distribution
56.6%3.0%40.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense
Analyzen=6.7K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 58.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.1% and 59.1%), based on 6.7K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.9% win rate (355 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.6% win rate (741 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.7% win rate (895 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.7% win rate (915 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.9% win rate (1,127 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.7% win rate (1,319 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.9% win rate (1,032 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.3% win rate (303 games)
  • 2500+: 54.3% win rate (51 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (73%), worst in Bullet (56%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.3% win rate (74 games)
  • Bullet: 55.6% win rate (2,397 games)
  • Blitz: 55.9% win rate (3,144 games)
  • Rapid: 59.8% win rate (1,057 games)
  • Classical: 73.3% win rate (66 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 68.7% expected score (68 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 69.2% expected score (69 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (254 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (360 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (123 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (285 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (389 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (210 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (272 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (416 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (267 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (560 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (253 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 72.5% expected score (23 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (432 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (715 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 66.5% expected score (144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (556 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (403 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 68.6% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 61.6% expected score (218 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (78 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.6%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 59.9% win rate for white (355 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (73.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (56.3%) by 17.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 59.9% (90% CI: 55.6%-64.1%) win rate for white, based on 355 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 54.6% (90% CI: 51.6%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 741 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.0%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 895 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.0%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 915 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 56.9% (90% CI: 54.5%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 57.9% (90% CI: 55.4%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 60.3% (90% CI: 55.6%-64.8%) win rate for white, based on 303 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.0%-57.3%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.5%-57.4%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense has a 59.8% (90% CI: 57.4%-62.3%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Massachusetts Defense is statistically favors white with a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.6%-57.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.