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Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation

115K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.5%Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.8%Based on 115K games
0%55.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.8%
Outcome Distribution
53.9%3.2%42.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Nf6
Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation
Analyzen=115K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 55.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.3% and 55.8%), based on 115K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.6% win rate (12,783 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.4% win rate (15,883 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.9% win rate (19,067 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.5% win rate (19,286 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.5% win rate (17,613 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.1% win rate (15,952 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.6% win rate (9,048 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.4% win rate (4,843 games)
  • 2500+: 53.4% win rate (584 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (59%), worst in UltraBullet (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.4% win rate (790 games)
  • Bullet: 52.9% win rate (33,853 games)
  • Blitz: 53.9% win rate (55,643 games)
  • Rapid: 55.4% win rate (23,568 games)
  • Classical: 58.6% win rate (1,205 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (1,810 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (6,586 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (4,337 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 33.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (3,601 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (7,597 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (4,515 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.9% expected score (150 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (89 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (4,461 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (9,672 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (4,574 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (271 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (301 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (4,492 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (9,642 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (4,442 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (409 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (237 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (5,162 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (8,985 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (3,000 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (229 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (78 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (5,694 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (8,242 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (1,849 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (4,294 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (3,977 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (736 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 85.1% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (3,805 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (899 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (112 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (534 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 115K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 54.9% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (58.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.4%) by 7.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.3%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.3%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 584 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-54.3%) win rate for white (790 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.2%) win rate for white (56K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.9%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation has a 58.6% (90% CI: 56.3%-61.0%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Masi Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.