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Analyzer

Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation

203 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score57.6%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 63.2%Based on 203 games
0%57.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 63.2%
Outcome Distribution
55.5%4.2%40.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation
n=203
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a 57.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 63.2%), based on 203 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 62% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 61.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1000-1199: 73.3% win rate (6 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.8% win rate (17 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.0% win rate (35 games)
  • 1600-1799: 62.4% win rate (41 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.8% win rate (43 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (34 games)
  • 2200-2499: 74.2% win rate (14 games)
  • 2500+: 45.5% win rate (4 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (57%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 56.6% win rate (70 games)
  • Blitz: 54.5% win rate (115 games)
  • Rapid: 56.8% win rate (17 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 35.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 203 rated games from Lichess.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.6%) outperforms Blitz (54.5%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-62.0%) win rate for white (115 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Mar��czy Variation is statistically balanced with a 55.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-61.2%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.