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Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line

1.6M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.8%Based on 1.6M games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%4.2%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nxe4
Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line
Analyzen=1.6M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 52.8%), based on 1.6M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.8% win rate (32,066 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.1% win rate (52,194 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.7% win rate (84,455 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.0% win rate (144,090 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (248,079 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.9% win rate (376,902 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.7% win rate (390,835 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.5% win rate (240,278 games)
  • 2500+: 52.6% win rate (43,350 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.7% win rate (6,202 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (681,759 games)
  • Blitz: 50.0% win rate (731,720 games)
  • Rapid: 50.3% win rate (185,574 games)
  • Classical: 47.3% win rate (6,994 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (7,097 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (16,088 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (8,786 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (91 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (15,614 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (22,037 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (14,153 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (299 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (350 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (30,237 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (34,821 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (18,378 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (669 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.2% expected score (909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (52,111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (65,196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (24,501 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (1,373 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (1,671 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (84,606 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (128,610 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (31,466 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (1,726 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (1,410 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (125,181 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (203,354 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (44,836 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.7% expected score (2,121 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.6% expected score (1,152 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (163,582 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (190,158 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (35,267 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (676 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.2% expected score (502 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (163,597 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (68,049 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (8,060 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 64.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (39,734 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (3,407 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.8% expected score (127 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (84K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (52.7%) outperforms Classical (47.3%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 84K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 144K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 248K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 377K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 391K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 240K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.8%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (682K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.0%) win rate for white (732K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.5%) win rate for white (186K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.3%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Main Line is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.