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Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation

241K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%Based on 241K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%6.0%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bc4
Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation
Analyzen=241K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 52.0%), based on 241K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.4% win rate (2,232 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (6,707 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (13,587 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (23,730 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.3% win rate (36,345 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.4% win rate (51,101 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.5% win rate (55,193 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.3% win rate (41,819 games)
  • 2500+: 51.5% win rate (9,930 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.1% win rate (82 games)
  • Bullet: 49.0% win rate (69,506 games)
  • Blitz: 48.8% win rate (130,912 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (38,508 games)
  • Classical: 46.0% win rate (1,636 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (773 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,130 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (328 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (1,869 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (3,515 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,309 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,169 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (7,073 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (3,272 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (5,226 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (12,525 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (5,745 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (7,247 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (20,361 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (8,222 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (502 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 34.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (11,615 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (29,307 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (9,606 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (540 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (15,310 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (32,203 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (7,430 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.0% expected score (243 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (16,920 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (22,318 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (2,529 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (7,377 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (2,480 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (67 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 241K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (9.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (40.1%) by 8.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.4%) win rate for white (70K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.0%) win rate for white (131K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.9%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.0%-48.0%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Forgacs Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.