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Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer

740K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.9%Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 55.0%Based on 740K games
0%54.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.8% – 55.0%
Outcome Distribution
52.9%4.1%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.d3
Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer
Analyzen=740K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 54.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.8% and 55.0%), based on 740K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (48,848 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (66,754 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.7% win rate (85,274 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.3% win rate (113,440 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.3% win rate (132,499 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.6% win rate (131,096 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.1% win rate (88,045 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.7% win rate (56,945 games)
  • 2500+: 51.9% win rate (17,247 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.1% win rate (4,876 games)
  • Bullet: 53.8% win rate (280,450 games)
  • Blitz: 53.0% win rate (339,388 games)
  • Rapid: 50.5% win rate (112,115 games)
  • Classical: 46.8% win rate (3,319 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.8% expected score (79 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (11,802 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (24,025 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (12,885 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (185 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (19,368 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (29,868 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (17,044 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (289 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.7% expected score (496 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (29,698 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (36,239 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (18,244 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (597 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (1,246 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (42,879 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (49,142 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (19,368 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (805 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (44,919 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (68,020 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (17,729 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.0% expected score (760 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (1,076 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (49,072 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (64,732 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (15,638 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (578 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.5% expected score (468 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (39,504 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (39,580 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (8,296 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (197 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (196 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (31,698 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (22,266 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (2,749 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 61.6% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (11,510 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (5,516 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (162 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 740K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (132K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.8%) outperforms Classical (46.8%) by 7.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 85K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 113K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 132K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 131K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 88K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.2%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.0%) win rate for white (280K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.1%) win rate for white (339K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.7%) win rate for white (112K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-48.2%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Endgame Offer is statistically favors white with a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.