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Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation

4.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.2%Range (90% confident): 54.0% – 56.5%Based on 4.3K games
0%55.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.0% – 56.5%
Outcome Distribution
53.5%3.5%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Qb6
Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation
Analyzen=4.3K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 55.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.0% and 56.5%), based on 4.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.1% win rate (47 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (186 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.3% win rate (477 games)
  • 1400-1599: 58.9% win rate (897 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.4% win rate (1,113 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.7% win rate (904 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.5% win rate (377 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.4% win rate (292 games)
  • 2500+: 49.3% win rate (34 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (662 games)
  • Blitz: 52.9% win rate (2,511 games)
  • Rapid: 54.5% win rate (1,099 games)
  • Classical: 60.4% win rate (54 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 31.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.8% expected score (96 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (296 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (82 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (127 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (537 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (227 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (132 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (643 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (325 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (463 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (314 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (227 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (74 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (202 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 58.9% win rate for white (897 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.5%) outperforms Classical (60.4%) by -5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 43.3%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 186 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 477 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 58.9% (90% CI: 56.2%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 897 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 904 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 377 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 41.4% (90% CI: 36.7%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 292 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-56.5%) win rate for white (662 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.6%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 52.0%-56.9%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Edinburgh Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.