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Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack

61K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.7%Range (90% confident): 56.4% – 57.0%Based on 61K games
0%56.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.4% – 57.0%
Outcome Distribution
54.7%3.9%41.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.f4
Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack
Analyzen=61K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 56.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.4% and 57.0%), based on 61K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.9% win rate (84 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.7% win rate (264 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.2% win rate (932 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.8% win rate (2,674 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.5% win rate (9,206 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.6% win rate (17,549 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.4% win rate (19,214 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.4% win rate (10,407 games)
  • 2500+: 57.6% win rate (941 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Classical (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.9% win rate (29 games)
  • Bullet: 56.3% win rate (24,264 games)
  • Blitz: 53.6% win rate (31,956 games)
  • Rapid: 54.1% win rate (4,853 games)
  • Classical: 49.6% win rate (169 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.0% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.1% expected score (138 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (91 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.7% expected score (491 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (341 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (94 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (1,167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (1,264 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (230 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (3,364 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (5,164 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (649 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (5,536 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (10,255 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (1,677 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (6,450 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (10,865 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (1,833 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (6,243 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (3,847 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (315 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.5% expected score (840 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (92 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 69.1% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 61K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 57.8% win rate for white (2.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.3%) outperforms Classical (49.6%) by 6.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-58.7%) win rate for white, based on 264 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 57.2% (90% CI: 54.5%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 932 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 57.8% (90% CI: 56.2%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 57.6% (90% CI: 54.9%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 941 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.8%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.1%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 54.1% (90% CI: 52.9%-55.2%) win rate for white (4.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 43.3%-55.8%) win rate for white (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Maróczy Attack is statistically favors white with a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.