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Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation

41K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.9%Range (90% confident): 55.5% – 56.3%Based on 41K games
0%55.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.5% – 56.3%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%5.6%41.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nh3
Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation
Analyzen=41K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 55.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.5% and 56.3%), based on 41K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 61.0% win rate (119 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.6% win rate (409 games)
  • 1400-1599: 59.1% win rate (1,196 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.1% win rate (4,153 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.6% win rate (7,880 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.4% win rate (11,660 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (12,540 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (3,102 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (56%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (16,317 games)
  • Blitz: 52.6% win rate (21,563 games)
  • Rapid: 55.6% win rate (3,030 games)
  • Classical: 48.9% win rate (159 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (77 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 67.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 74.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 62.5% expected score (216 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (155 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (524 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (527 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (134 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (1,516 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (2,251 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (361 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (2,369 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (4,630 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (822 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (3,370 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (7,176 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (6,058 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (5,898 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (571 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (2,183 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (888 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 67.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 41K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 59.1% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.6%) outperforms Classical (48.9%) by 6.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 61.0% (90% CI: 53.6%-68.2%) win rate for white, based on 119 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 57.6% (90% CI: 53.6%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 409 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 56.7%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.8%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.9%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.2%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.1%-57.0%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-55.4%) win rate for white (159 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.1%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Classical Variation, Flohr Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.