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Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit

190K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.3%Range (90% confident): 54.1% – 54.5%Based on 190K games
0%54.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.1% – 54.5%
Outcome Distribution
52.1%4.3%43.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bd3
Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit
Analyzen=190K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 54.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.1% and 54.5%), based on 190K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.8% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 51% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.0% win rate (7,570 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.9% win rate (12,450 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.6% win rate (16,825 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.2% win rate (22,696 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.0% win rate (32,131 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.5% win rate (42,748 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (35,678 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (17,174 games)
  • 2500+: 53.3% win rate (3,146 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.7% win rate (111 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (61,818 games)
  • Blitz: 52.1% win rate (93,472 games)
  • Rapid: 52.0% win rate (33,707 games)
  • Classical: 47.3% win rate (1,310 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,260 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (4,049 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (2,255 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (2,378 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (5,605 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (4,394 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (3,472 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (7,584 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (5,556 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (206 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (5,619 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (10,581 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (6,086 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (399 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (9,577 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (16,576 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (5,666 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (292 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (13,175 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (23,526 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (5,767 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (264 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (13,556 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (18,810 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (3,230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (9,980 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (6,409 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (742 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (2,801 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (332 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack
51.4%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Modern Variation
50.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Open Variation
48.9%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Pseudo-Scandinavian
86.7%
Caro-Kann Defense: Accelerated Panov Attack, Van Weersel Attack
45.6%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 190K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.4%) outperforms Classical (47.3%) by 5.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-62.3%) win rate for white (111 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.7%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.3%) win rate for white (93K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.5%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-49.6%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Alekhine Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.