What is the Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit has a 54.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.2% and 59.8%), based on 199 Lichess games.
Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit
199 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
PlayableWhite Expected Score54.0%Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 59.8%Based on 199 games
0%54.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 59.8%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%1.7%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.g4
Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit
Analyzen=199
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.7%
White Win% by Rating
Stable across ratings (~33%)
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 33.3% win rate (12 games)
- 1000-1199: 44.0% win rate (11 games)
- 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
- 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (28 games)
- 1600-1799: 44.0% win rate (36 games)
- 1800-1999: 61.6% win rate (35 games)
- 2000-2199: 54.1% win rate (29 games)
- 2200-2499: 57.7% win rate (34 games)
- 2500+: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in Rapid (68%), worst in Blitz (51%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
- Bullet: 51.9% win rate (90 games)
- Blitz: 50.8% win rate (92 games)
- Rapid: 67.6% win rate (17 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 65.6% expected score (21 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (20 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (26 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Bird Opening50.1%
Analyze Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit win rate?
The Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 199 rated games from Lichess.
Is the Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
Bullet (51.9%) outperforms Blitz (50.8%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit?
The Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.3 (very decisive), meaning 98.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
Is the Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit a good opening?
The Bird Opening: Swiss Gambit is statistically balanced with a 53.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-58.9%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.