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Analyzer

Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit

286K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.2%Based on 286K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%2.9%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Nc6
Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit
Analyzen=286K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 52.2%), based on 286K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.7% win rate (9,522 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.7% win rate (15,905 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (30,415 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (51,409 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (67,275 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (60,414 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (33,293 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.2% win rate (15,611 games)
  • 2500+: 50.5% win rate (1,978 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (659 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (138,706 games)
  • Blitz: 50.7% win rate (125,561 games)
  • Rapid: 50.9% win rate (20,359 games)
  • Classical: 51.2% win rate (537 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 19.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (4,748 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (3,376 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (1,358 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (7,928 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (6,513 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,377 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (92 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (15,034 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (13,137 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (2,091 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (176 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (23,561 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (23,943 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (3,597 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (132 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (233 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (28,403 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (33,365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (5,103 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (25,624 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (29,556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (5,075 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (102 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (18,860 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (12,832 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (1,566 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (12,702 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (2,709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,846 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (130 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Analyze Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 286K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 51.0% win rate for white (67K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.5%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit?

The Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-51.7%) win rate for white (659 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white (139K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate for white (126K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.4%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-54.7%) win rate for white (537 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.