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Analyzer

Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation

230 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.4%Range (90% confident): 42.1% – 52.8%Based on 230 games
0%47.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.1% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%3.7%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation
n=230
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a 47.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.1% and 52.8%), based on 230 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 28% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 28.3% win rate (25 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.3% win rate (19 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (16 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.0% win rate (30 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (34 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.6% win rate (48 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.9% win rate (30 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.0% win rate (28 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (58%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 45.2% win rate (108 games)
  • Blitz: 45.4% win rate (101 games)
  • Rapid: 57.6% win rate (15 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 29.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 69.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 34.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 40.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 230 rated games from Lichess.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.2%) outperforms Blitz (45.4%) by -0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 37.5%-53.0%) win rate for white (108 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 37.4%-53.5%) win rate for white (101 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Mar��czy Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.6% (90% CI: 40.2%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.