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Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation

35K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.4%Based on 35K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.4%
Outcome Distribution
48.9%4.2%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.d3
Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation
Analyzen=35K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.4%), based on 35K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.4 · Trap factor: -6.2 · n=35K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 14.1% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.2% win rate (1,618 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.4% win rate (2,130 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.2% win rate (3,096 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (4,342 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.1% win rate (5,688 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (7,187 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (6,148 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (3,813 games)
  • 2500+: 55.3% win rate (538 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.2% win rate (148 games)
  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (16,569 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (13,858 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (3,826 games)
  • Classical: 37.1% win rate (159 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (244 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (928 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (443 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (446 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (1,099 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (577 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (941 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (1,399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (719 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,471 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (2,032 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (742 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (2,476 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (2,475 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (634 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 35.2% expected score (49 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (3,741 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (2,954 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (449 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (3,663 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (2,234 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (3,075 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (711 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (512 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 82.8% expected score (26 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Game
51.4%
Variations (5)
Vienna Game: Anderssen Defense
49.8%
Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation
48.2%
Vienna Game: Frankenstein-Dracula Variation
47.4%
Vienna Game: Fyfe Gambit
45.8%
Vienna Game: Giraffe Attack
54.5%
Analyze Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 35K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation perform best?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (538 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.6%) outperforms Classical (37.1%) by 13.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 538 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 44.5%-57.9%) win rate for white (148 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.3%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.9%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-45.6%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation has a 37.1% (90% CI: 30.9%-43.4%) win rate for white (159 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Steinitz Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.