29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 52.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 52.8%), based on 29K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 46% → 57%
Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (28%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 29K rated games from Lichess.
The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.4% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (52.9%) outperforms Classical (37.9%) by 15.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 41.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 293 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 39.0%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 536 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 775 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.0%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 55.1%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.8%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.
In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.3%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.
In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation has a 37.9% (90% CI: 31.1%-45.0%) win rate for white (129 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.1%.
The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Modern Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.