TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.6%Based on 12K games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%5.9%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Be7
Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation
Analyzen=12K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 48.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 49.6%), based on 12K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.3% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 74% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 74.2% win rate (14 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.5% win rate (38 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.5% win rate (172 games)
  • 1400-1599: 59.6% win rate (464 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.2% win rate (1,011 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (2,429 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.1% win rate (3,729 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.6% win rate (3,403 games)
  • 2500+: 38.7% win rate (558 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 44.8% win rate (3,007 games)
  • Blitz: 44.8% win rate (7,284 games)
  • Rapid: 53.0% win rate (1,425 games)
  • Classical: 54.5% win rate (93 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 71.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (76 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 68.3% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (152 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (204 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 64.8% expected score (100 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (234 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (540 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 74.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (385 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (1,616 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (388 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (669 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (2,573 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (458 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (1,105 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (2,097 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (197 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (395 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.0% expected score (158 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 19.3% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Game
51.4%
Variations (5)
Vienna Game: Max Lange Defense
50.3%
Vienna Game: Anderssen Defense
49.8%
Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit
57.4%
Vienna Game: Stanley Variation
51.0%
Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation
48.2%
Analyze Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation perform best?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (558 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (37.6%) by 13.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 38.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 0.9% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 39.2% (90% CI: 35.5%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 464 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 41.6%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 558 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.4%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.6%) win rate for white (7.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation has a 40.6% (90% CI: 38.4%-42.7%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Breyer Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.