TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation

32K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.9%Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 47.4%Based on 32K games
0%46.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 47.4%
Outcome Distribution
44.9%4.1%51.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...f5
Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation
Analyzen=32K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 46.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.5% and 47.4%), based on 32K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.2% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 38% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.1% win rate (76 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.0% win rate (297 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.9% win rate (671 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.3% win rate (1,908 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.7% win rate (4,622 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.3% win rate (7,435 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.8% win rate (9,160 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.5% win rate (6,838 games)
  • 2500+: 50.1% win rate (1,069 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (35%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.2% win rate (7,444 games)
  • Blitz: 45.2% win rate (19,586 games)
  • Rapid: 41.7% win rate (4,812 games)
  • Classical: 35.0% win rate (234 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.7% expected score (47 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.2% expected score (185 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 33.6% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (317 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (255 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (96 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (632 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (1,031 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 29.1% expected score (228 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (1,004 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (2,900 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (683 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 28.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (1,291 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (4,651 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (1,400 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (93 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,427 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (6,037 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (1,629 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,840 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (4,270 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (710 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (701 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (355 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Game
51.4%
Variations (5)
Vienna Game: Anderssen Defense
49.8%
Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation
48.2%
Vienna Game: Frankenstein-Dracula Variation
47.4%
Vienna Game: Fyfe Gambit
45.8%
Vienna Game: Giraffe Attack
54.5%
Analyze Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation perform best?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.2%) outperforms Classical (35.0%) by 11.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 38.0% (90% CI: 33.5%-42.7%) win rate for white, based on 297 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 42.9% (90% CI: 39.8%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 671 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 40.3% (90% CI: 38.5%-42.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 40.5%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.2%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.8%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 40.5%-42.9%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation has a 35.0% (90% CI: 30.0%-40.2%) win rate for white (234 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Vienna Gambit, Bardeleben Variation is slightly favors black with a 44.9% (90% CI: 44.4%-45.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.