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Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense

284K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.1%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.2%Based on 284K games
0%50.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
48.1%3.9%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense
Analyzen=284K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 50.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 50.2%), based on 284K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.2% win rate (30,075 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.4% win rate (26,543 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (26,025 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (31,095 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (37,628 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (50,724 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (48,640 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.8% win rate (29,516 games)
  • 2500+: 50.2% win rate (3,573 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.0% win rate (3,278 games)
  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (160,673 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (87,311 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (31,351 games)
  • Classical: 48.5% win rate (1,206 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (5,429 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (14,982 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (9,542 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (84 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (7,528 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (10,272 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (8,391 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (252 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.5% expected score (313 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (11,439 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (8,635 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (5,303 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (335 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.7% expected score (832 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (17,511 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (9,159 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (3,259 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.3% expected score (334 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (23,178 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (11,358 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,912 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.0% expected score (686 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (32,491 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (15,971 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (1,517 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (182 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (34,668 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (12,655 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (48 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (25,012 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (4,139 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.0% expected score (314 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (3,417 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (140 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 71.1% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
48.4%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Continuations (1)
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense, Steiner Gambit
47.9%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 284K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.2% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (50.0%) outperforms Classical (48.5%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.4%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate for white (161K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.0%) win rate for white (87K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.0%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-50.9%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.