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Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 48.1%Based on 39K games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 48.1%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%3.5%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Bc5
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 47.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.3% and 48.1%), based on 39K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -2.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 16%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.8% win rate (13,012 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.6% win rate (6,172 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (6,140 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (5,428 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.0% win rate (4,442 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.7% win rate (2,397 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.9% win rate (932 games)
  • 2200-2499: 37.9% win rate (245 games)
  • 2500+: 15.8% win rate (8 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (49%), worst in Blitz (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.8% win rate (2,736 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (13,083 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (15,149 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (7,546 games)
  • Classical: 48.8% win rate (262 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.1% expected score (87 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,792 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (5,457 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (4,617 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.4% expected score (244 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (2,023 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (2,640 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (1,186 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (79 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.3% expected score (550 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (2,099 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (2,572 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (860 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (812 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (2,067 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (506 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (656 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (2,016 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (1,510 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (255 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.8% expected score (321 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,309 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (663 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (93 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.5% expected score (63 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (618 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 39.2% expected score (224 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (224 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Reversed Nimzowitsch
48.6%
Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit
52.1%
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense
48.1%
Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack
51.9%
Van Geet Opening: Sicilian Two Knights
47.4%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 60.6% win rate for white (245 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.0%) outperforms Classical (46.5%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 50.5%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 932 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 60.6% (90% CI: 55.5%-65.7%) win rate for white, based on 245 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-52.7%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.0%) win rate for white (7.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 41.5%-51.6%) win rate for white (262 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.