Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
h8
g
f
e
d
c
b
a
2...Bc5
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.7%

40%55%
Floor47.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.1%.

Measured over 39K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 39K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
39K
Best context
51.8% at 1000-1199 Bullet
Worst context
43.7% at 1200-1399 Rapid
Average game length
28 moves
Games that end decisively
96.5%
Draws
3.5%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: −2.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 54.0% at 0-999, 18.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.1% expected score (87 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,792 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (5,457 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (4,617 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.4% expected score (244 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (2,023 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (2,640 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (1,186 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (79 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.3% expected score (550 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (2,099 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (2,572 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (860 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.4% expected score (812 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (2,067 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (506 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (656 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (2,016 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (1,510 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.2% expected score (255 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.8% expected score (321 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,309 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (663 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (93 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.5% expected score (63 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (618 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 39.2% expected score (224 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (224 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Reversed Nimzowitsch
48.6%
Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit
52.1%
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense
48.1%
Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack
51.9%
Van Geet Opening: Sicilian Two Knights
47.4%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit scores 47.7% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.3% and 48.1% — from 39K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
39K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate?

Playing the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit, Black wins 45.9%, draws 3.5% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 49.1% (13K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 46.9% in Blitz (15K games) against 47.5% in Rapid (7.5K games).

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 46.8%, draws 4.6% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 47.6%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 6.2K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 45.0%, draws 2.6% and loses 52.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 6.1K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 45.7%, draws 2.7% and loses 51.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 5.4K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 45.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 4.4K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 43.7%, draws 3.3% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.3%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 42.9%, draws 3.9% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 932 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 37.9%, draws 1.4% and loses 60.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 38.7%. It rests on 245 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 47.8%, draws 1.0% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 47.5%, draws 2.1% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 13K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 44.7%, draws 4.4% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 15K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 44.9%, draws 5.1% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 7.5K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 48.8%, draws 4.7% and loses 46.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 262 Lichess games.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.9% of its games and loses 50.6%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.