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Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit

618K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

53.8%

45%60%
Floor53.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.9%.

Measured over 618K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 618K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
618K
Best context
58.9% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context
45.9% at 0-999 Bullet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
96.6%
Draws
3.4%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 52.4% at 0-999, 57.4% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (53 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (6,831 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (16,428 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (6,120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 60.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.3% expected score (209 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (13,817 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (20,513 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (9,870 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (167 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (705 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (27,318 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (23,428 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (9,089 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (386 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (2,020 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (51,107 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (33,743 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (6,600 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (390 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (3,282 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (75,745 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (38,436 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (4,643 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.2% expected score (3,814 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (91,949 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (40,248 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (2,865 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (65 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.1% expected score (845 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (67,853 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (18,606 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (2,047 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (86 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (26,870 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (5,771 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.1% expected score (256 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (4,967 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Reversed Nimzowitsch
48.6%
Van Geet Opening: Grünfeld Defense
48.1%
Van Geet Opening: Napoleon Attack
51.9%
Van Geet Opening: Sicilian Two Knights
47.4%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Analyze Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit scores 53.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.7% and 53.9% — from 618K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
618K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate?

Playing the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit, White wins 52.1%, draws 3.4% and loses 44.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 618K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 58.8% (5.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 54.0% in Blitz (197K games) against 51.8% in Rapid (41K games).

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit?

The Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 47.1%, draws 4.4% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 29K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 50.0%, draws 3.8% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.0%. It rests on 45K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 50.6%, draws 3.1% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 61K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 51.3%, draws 3.2% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 94K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 52.7%, draws 3.1% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.3%. It rests on 122K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 53.3%, draws 3.2% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.9%. It rests on 139K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 53.4%, draws 3.6% and loses 42.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.3%. It rests on 89K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 53.3%, draws 4.3% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.5%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 56.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 38.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.8%. It rests on 5.1K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 51.7%, draws 2.4% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 11K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 52.6%, draws 2.9% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 366K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 51.9%, draws 4.1% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 197K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 49.3%, draws 4.9% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 41K Lichess games.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 48.9%, draws 5.6% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Dunst-Perrenet Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 52.1% of its games and loses 44.5%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.