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Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack

570 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score50.2%Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 53.6%Based on 570 games
0%50.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%3.6%48.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack
n=570
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.7% and 53.6%), based on 570 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 42% → 20%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.5% win rate (19 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (58 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.7% win rate (82 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (112 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (114 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.5% win rate (84 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.7% win rate (86 games)
  • 2200-2499: 61.3% win rate (14 games)
  • 2500+: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (68%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 51.2% win rate (183 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (257 games)
  • Rapid: 50.2% win rate (119 games)
  • Classical: 68.4% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.2% expected score (44 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (63 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 38.2% expected score (45 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (65 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Van Geet Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Van Geet Opening: Battambang Variation
48.5%
Van Geet Opening: Berlin Gambit
52.3%
Van Geet Opening: Billockus-Johansen Gambit
50.6%
Van Geet Opening: Damhaug Gambit
47.7%
Van Geet Opening: Dougherty Gambit
49.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack win rate?

The Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.9%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 570 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack perform best?

The Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 57.7% win rate for white (86 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.2%) outperforms Blitz (44.7%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack?

The Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a 47.1% (90% CI: 39.5%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 112 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.2%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 114 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-57.3%) win rate for white (183 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a 44.7% (90% CI: 39.6%-49.8%) win rate for white (257 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-57.7%) win rate for white (119 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack a good opening?

The Van Geet Opening: Caro-Kann Variation, St. Patrick's Attack is slightly favors black with a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.9%-51.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.