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Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation

1.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.5%Range (90% confident): 54.4% – 58.6%Based on 1.4K games
0%56.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.4% – 58.6%
Outcome Distribution
53.8%5.3%40.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nd5
Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation
Analyzen=1.4K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 56.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.4% and 58.6%), based on 1.4K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.1% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 54% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.7% win rate (59 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.7% win rate (36 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (39 games)
  • 1400-1599: 63.6% win rate (59 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.6% win rate (39 games)
  • 1800-1999: 62.6% win rate (52 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.0% win rate (235 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.3% win rate (724 games)
  • 2500+: 55.8% win rate (202 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (82%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (452 games)
  • Blitz: 53.3% win rate (870 games)
  • Rapid: 64.6% win rate (117 games)
  • Classical: 81.8% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.0% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (161 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 74.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (201 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (503 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 66.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 61.7% expected score (71 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Three Knights Opening
49.6%
Variations (3)
Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation
48.3%
Three Knights Opening: Steinitz Defense
50.3%
Three Knights Opening: Winawer Defense
48.0%
Analyze Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation win rate?

The Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation perform best?

The Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 63.6% win rate for white (59 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (64.6%) outperforms Bullet (51.5%) by 13.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation?

The Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 235 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 724 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 202 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.6%-55.3%) win rate for white (452 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-56.1%) win rate for white (870 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation has a 64.6% (90% CI: 57.2%-71.6%) win rate for white (117 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

Is the Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation a good opening?

The Three Knights Opening: Steinitz-Rosenthal Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-56.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.