Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation

75K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 50.0%Based on 75K games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.4% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%4.1%48.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nf6
Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation
Analyzen=75K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 49.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.4% and 50.0%), based on 75K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~49%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.2% win rate (9,999 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.0% win rate (16,492 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.0% win rate (18,783 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (15,290 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (8,606 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.4% win rate (3,660 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (1,488 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.1% win rate (684 games)
  • 2500+: 49.7% win rate (251 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.6% win rate (49 games)
  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (10,502 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (39,971 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (23,688 games)
  • Classical: 47.1% win rate (1,043 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,518 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (5,478 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (2,968 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (2,133 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (9,260 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (4,999 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (93 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (2,079 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (9,912 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (6,503 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (282 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,635 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (7,884 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (5,372 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (388 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,265 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (4,406 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (2,735 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (192 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (913 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1,846 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (845 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (547 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (732 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (200 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (270 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (353 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.6% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (142 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate?

The Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 75K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation perform best?

The Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.2% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.8%) outperforms Classical (46.7%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation?

The Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 45.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 684 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 37.1%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 251 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.1% draw rate.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.6%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.7%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.7%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-49.2%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation a good opening?

The Three Knights Opening: Schlechter Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.