What is the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 39.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 38.8% and 40.4%), based on 9.5K Lichess games.
9.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 39.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 38.8% and 40.4%), based on 9.5K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 20% → 41%
Best in Blitz (37%), worst in UltraBullet (23%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 36.8% (90% CI: 36.0%-37.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K rated games from Lichess.
The Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 39.5% win rate for white (2.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (37.4%) outperforms Rapid (35.0%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 41.5% (90% CI: 36.2%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 226 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 35.4% (90% CI: 32.5%-38.3%) win rate for white, based on 737 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 35.6% (90% CI: 33.8%-37.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 33.9% (90% CI: 32.6%-35.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 39.5% (90% CI: 38.0%-41.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 37.9%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 643 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 36.2% (90% CI: 34.8%-37.6%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 37.4% (90% CI: 36.4%-38.5%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.
In Rapid games, the Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit has a 35.0% (90% CI: 32.2%-37.8%) win rate for white (777 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.
The Tarrasch Defense: von Hennig Gambit is slightly favors black with a 36.8% (90% CI: 36.0%-37.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.