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Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit

686 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.3%Range (90% confident): 43.1% – 49.4%Based on 686 games
0%46.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.1% – 49.4%
Outcome Distribution
43.3%5.9%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...b5
Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit
Analyzen=686
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a 46.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.1% and 49.4%), based on 686 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.9 · Trap factor: -6.5 · n=686

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 17.5% · Blitz best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • 1400-1599: 28.2% win rate (18 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.4% win rate (22 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.5% win rate (92 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.0% win rate (217 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.0% win rate (275 games)
  • 2500+: 41.7% win rate (50 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (47%), worst in Classical (11%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.5% win rate (103 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (473 games)
  • Rapid: 29.0% win rate (107 games)
  • Classical: 11.1% win rate (3 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (165 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (187 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 20.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Advance Variation
44.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
46.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Carlsbad Variation
48.9%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit
45.0%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.2%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 686 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.0% win rate for white (275 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (46.5%) outperforms Rapid (29.0%) by 17.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit?

The Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 35.5%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 217 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 275 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a 44.5% (90% CI: 36.6%-52.5%) win rate for white (103 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 42.7%-50.2%) win rate for white (473 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit has a 29.0% (90% CI: 22.1%-36.4%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Tarrasch Gambit is slightly favors black with a 43.3% (90% CI: 40.2%-46.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.