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Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation

4.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.6%Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 52.8%Based on 4.3K games
0%51.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.7%5.7%45.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...c4
Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation
Analyzen=4.3K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 51.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.3% and 52.8%), based on 4.3K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.2% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1000-1199: 66.0% win rate (25 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.0% win rate (83 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.7% win rate (201 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.0% win rate (446 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.4% win rate (815 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (1,244 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.8% win rate (1,139 games)
  • 2500+: 47.2% win rate (298 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Bullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 47.2% win rate (1,655 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (2,263 games)
  • Rapid: 55.4% win rate (317 games)
  • Classical: 57.4% win rate (22 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 79.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (70 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (108 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (142 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (242 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 83.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (258 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (446 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (406 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (760 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (492 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (601 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.8% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 22.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (239 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (52 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Advance Variation
44.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
46.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Carlsbad Variation
48.9%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit
45.0%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (815 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.4%) outperforms Bullet (47.2%) by 8.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation?

The Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 40.9%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 201 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 446 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 815 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 43.4%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 42.5%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 298 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-49.3%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.9%-50.3%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-60.0%) win rate for white (317 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Swedish Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.