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Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System

7.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.6%Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 56.5%Based on 7.6K games
0%55.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 56.5%
Outcome Distribution
52.7%5.7%41.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.g3
Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System
Analyzen=7.6K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 55.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.7% and 56.5%), based on 7.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.8% · Rapid best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 63% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 63.1% win rate (31 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.3% win rate (119 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.7% win rate (272 games)
  • 1400-1599: 58.0% win rate (475 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.8% win rate (865 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (1,562 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.4% win rate (2,179 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.2% win rate (1,834 games)
  • 2500+: 54.4% win rate (242 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (60%), worst in Blitz (52%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.2% win rate (2,942 games)
  • Blitz: 51.6% win rate (3,898 games)
  • Rapid: 60.4% win rate (696 games)
  • Classical: 55.1% win rate (43 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (71 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (107 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (127 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (37 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (165 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (226 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 73.3% expected score (80 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (404 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (131 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (519 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (856 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (164 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (725 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (1,286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.7% expected score (164 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (881 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (859 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.7% expected score (92 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (178 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 76.7% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Advance Variation
44.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
46.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Carlsbad Variation
48.9%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Classical Tarrasch Gambit
45.0%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 58.0% win rate for white (475 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (60.4%) outperforms Blitz (51.6%) by 8.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System?

The Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 59.3% (90% CI: 51.9%-66.6%) win rate for white, based on 119 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 51.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 272 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 58.0% (90% CI: 54.3%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 475 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 53.8% (90% CI: 51.0%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 865 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.3%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 54.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 242 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.7%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.0%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System has a 60.4% (90% CI: 57.4%-63.5%) win rate for white (696 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Rubinstein System is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.