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Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation

1.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 49.3%Based on 1.3K games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 49.3%
Outcome Distribution
43.0%8.1%48.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
10...Re8
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation
Analyzen=1.3K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.1%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.8% and 49.3%), based on 1.3K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 41%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 28.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.1% win rate (23 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.1% win rate (59 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.3% win rate (163 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.1% win rate (360 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.3% win rate (459 games)
  • 2500+: 41.3% win rate (230 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Rapid (25%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (765 games)
  • Blitz: 37.6% win rate (495 games)
  • Rapid: 25.3% win rate (40 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (3 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 26.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.8% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (193 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (256 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 39.9% expected score (191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (213 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 28.4% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Symmetrical Variation
48.5%
Tarrasch Defense: Two Knights Variation
49.7%
Tarrasch Defense: Schara Gambit
45.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Dubov Tarrasch
44.6%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (459 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (52.3%) outperforms Bullet (46.4%) by 5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a sharpness score of 91.9 (decisive), meaning 91.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 163 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 360 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.2%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 459 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 9.7% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 41.5%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 230 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 11.9% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 43.4%-49.3%) win rate for white (765 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-55.9%) win rate for white (495 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.2%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Petursson Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-51.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.