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Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.4%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 48.2%Based on 11K games
0%47.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
43.4%7.9%48.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...Be6
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.9%

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 47.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 48.2%), based on 11K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 82% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 81.8% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.5% win rate (17 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.8% win rate (45 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.0% win rate (220 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.9% win rate (492 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.1% win rate (1,597 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.4% win rate (3,695 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.7% win rate (4,145 games)
  • 2500+: 40.4% win rate (970 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (24%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 45.5% win rate (4,425 games)
  • Blitz: 42.6% win rate (5,965 games)
  • Rapid: 38.1% win rate (754 games)
  • Classical: 24.1% win rate (38 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (73 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (126 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 64.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (176 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (461 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (969 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (151 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (982 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (2,451 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.0% expected score (248 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (1,887 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (1,990 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (263 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (819 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.8% expected score (142 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Tarrasch Defense
48.8%
Variations (5)
Tarrasch Defense: Symmetrical Variation
48.5%
Tarrasch Defense: Two Knights Variation
49.7%
Tarrasch Defense: Schara Gambit
45.6%
Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation
49.0%
Tarrasch Defense: Dubov Tarrasch
44.6%
Analyze Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation perform best?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (970 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.7%) outperforms Rapid (50.0%) by -1.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a sharpness score of 92.1 (decisive), meaning 92.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 41.8% (90% CI: 36.4%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 220 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 492 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 970 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.7%) win rate for white (4.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.8%) win rate for white (6.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

What is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-53.0%) win rate for white (754 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.0%.

Is the Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation a good opening?

The Tarrasch Defense: Classical Variation, Endgame Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.