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Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit

100K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.4%Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 50.7%Based on 100K games
0%50.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 50.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%3.8%47.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit
Analyzen=100K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 50.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.1% and 50.7%), based on 100K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +2.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.3% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.4% win rate (1,327 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.4% win rate (2,758 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (4,821 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (9,013 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.6% win rate (14,796 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (24,781 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (21,778 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.0% win rate (17,095 games)
  • 2500+: 40.4% win rate (3,390 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.5% win rate (609 games)
  • Bullet: 49.1% win rate (48,371 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (43,610 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (6,898 games)
  • Classical: 47.2% win rate (271 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (397 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (701 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.2% expected score (226 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (887 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (1,329 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (518 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,829 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (2,174 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (762 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (173 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (3,722 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (4,039 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (1,039 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (280 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (6,796 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (6,451 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (10,876 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (12,191 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (1,561 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (10,053 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (10,403 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (1,288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (10,950 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (5,813 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (318 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (2,861 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (509 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Exchange Variation
50.4%
Slav Defense: Three Knights Variation
51.1%
Slav Defense: Modern Line
51.9%
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense
49.6%
Slav Defense: Slav Gambit, Alekhine Attack
52.8%
Continuations (1)
Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit, Anti-Winawer Gambit
51.9%
Analyze Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 100K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit perform best?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.9% win rate for white (2.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (53.8%) outperforms Classical (43.5%) by 10.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-57.1%) win rate for white (609 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.2%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.8%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.3%) win rate for white (6.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 38.6%-48.4%) win rate for white (271 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.

Is the Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Winawer Countergambit is statistically balanced with a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.