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Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense

717K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.0%Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.1%Based on 717K games
0%48.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 48.1%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%4.9%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bg4
Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense
Analyzen=717K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 48.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 48.1%), based on 717K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.3% win rate (6,305 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.2% win rate (21,878 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.4% win rate (52,616 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (96,296 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (148,241 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (169,713 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.7% win rate (125,745 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.3% win rate (79,569 games)
  • 2500+: 40.1% win rate (16,807 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.4% win rate (1,814 games)
  • Bullet: 46.3% win rate (320,946 games)
  • Blitz: 45.0% win rate (328,611 games)
  • Rapid: 44.8% win rate (63,123 games)
  • Classical: 42.4% win rate (2,676 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2,385 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (3,199 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (716 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (8,473 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (10,852 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (2,499 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (20,035 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (26,139 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (6,257 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (105 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (272 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (35,566 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (48,006 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (11,956 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (496 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (768 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (56,319 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (75,011 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (15,223 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (920 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.2% expected score (437 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (69,307 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (83,132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (16,048 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (789 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (145 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (64,759 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (52,418 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (8,145 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.1% expected score (278 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (50,708 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (26,611 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (2,139 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 34.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (13,394 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (3,243 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (140 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Exchange Variation
50.4%
Slav Defense: Three Knights Variation
51.1%
Slav Defense: Modern Line
51.9%
Slav Defense: Slav Gambit, Alekhine Attack
52.8%
Slav Defense: Schlechter Variation
50.3%
Analyze Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 717K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense perform best?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.2% win rate for white (17K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.2%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 148K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 170K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 126K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 80K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 45.2% (90% CI: 43.3%-47.1%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.2%) win rate for white (321K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white (329K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.4%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.1%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.