Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense
717K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
48.0%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.1%.
Measured over 717K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 4.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 717K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 717K
- Best context
- 57.0% at 1600-1799 UltraBullet
- Worst context
- 40.9% at 2200-2499 Rapid
- Average game length
- 37 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.1%
- Draws
- 4.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.8% at 0-999, 42.9% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2,385 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (3,199 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (716 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (8,473 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (10,852 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (2,499 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 43.9% expected score (80 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (20,035 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (26,139 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (6,257 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (105 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.6% expected score (272 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (35,566 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (48,006 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (11,956 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (496 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.0% expected score (768 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (56,319 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (75,011 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (15,223 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (920 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.2% expected score (437 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (69,307 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (83,132 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (16,048 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (789 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (145 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (64,759 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (52,418 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (8,145 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.1% expected score (278 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (63 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (50,708 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (26,611 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (2,139 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 34.9% expected score (48 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (21 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (13,394 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (3,243 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (140 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 59.5% expected score (9 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense scores 48.0% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.9% and 48.1% — from 717K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 717K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate?
Playing the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense, Black wins 45.6%, draws 4.9% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.0%. It rests on 717K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense perform best?
The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 49.7% (6.3K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.9% in Blitz (329K games) against 47.9% in Rapid (63K games).
How sharp is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense?
The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 48.3%, draws 2.8% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 6.3K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.2%, draws 3.1% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 22K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 53K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 46.8%, draws 3.8% and loses 49.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 96K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.5%, draws 4.4% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 148K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 45.9%, draws 5.1% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 170K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 44.7%, draws 5.5% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 126K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 43.3%, draws 6.5% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.5%. It rests on 80K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 40.1%, draws 8.8% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 17K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, Black wins 52.4%, draws 2.4% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 46.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 321K Lichess games.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 45.0%, draws 5.8% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 329K Lichess games.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 44.8%, draws 6.2% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 63K Lichess games.
What is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 42.4%, draws 8.0% and loses 49.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.5%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games.
Is the Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense a good opening?
The Slav Defense: Quiet Variation, Pin Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.6% of its games and loses 49.6%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.