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Slav Defense: Breyer Variation

66K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.5%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.8%Based on 66K games
0%53.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%6.3%43.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nbd2
Slav Defense: Breyer Variation
Analyzen=66K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.3%

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 53.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.8%), based on 66K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.2% win rate (348 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.8% win rate (532 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (980 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (2,319 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.3% win rate (4,636 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (11,515 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.8% win rate (18,986 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.2% win rate (22,150 games)
  • 2500+: 51.8% win rate (4,638 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.9% win rate (45 games)
  • Bullet: 51.9% win rate (24,442 games)
  • Blitz: 49.5% win rate (35,039 games)
  • Rapid: 48.9% win rate (6,297 games)
  • Classical: 45.1% win rate (281 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (181 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (89 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (124 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (263 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (144 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (293 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (482 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (197 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (587 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (1,305 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (397 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,036 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (2,745 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (769 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (69 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (3,442 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (6,486 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,485 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (84 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (5,986 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (10,945 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,989 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (9,658 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (11,289 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (1,173 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 75.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (3,240 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (1,343 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Slav Defense
50.8%
Variations (5)
Slav Defense: Alapin Variation
53.2%
Slav Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.7%
Slav Defense: Bonet Gambit
49.7%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation
49.1%
Slav Defense: Chebanenko Variation, Advance System
49.0%
Analyze Slav Defense: Breyer Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate?

The Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 66K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation perform best?

The Slav Defense: Breyer Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.2% win rate for white (22K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.9%) outperforms Classical (45.1%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation?

The Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a sharpness score of 93.7 (decisive), meaning 93.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 41.8%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 348 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 532 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 980 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.4%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.9%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (6.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

What is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 40.3%-50.0%) win rate for white (281 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.0%.

Is the Slav Defense: Breyer Variation a good opening?

The Slav Defense: Breyer Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.