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Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred

153K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.3%Based on 153K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.9% – 52.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%3.3%46.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.b4
Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred
Analyzen=153K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.9% and 52.3%), based on 153K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.9% win rate (373 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.0% win rate (1,425 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (5,050 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.0% win rate (11,889 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.0% win rate (23,379 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.1% win rate (36,226 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (38,723 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.5% win rate (31,283 games)
  • 2500+: 53.3% win rate (4,585 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (36 games)
  • Bullet: 51.6% win rate (56,152 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (82,881 games)
  • Rapid: 49.1% win rate (13,404 games)
  • Classical: 48.6% win rate (460 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (130 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (643 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (652 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (124 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,089 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (2,459 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (489 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (3,933 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (6,534 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (1,355 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (7,325 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (12,791 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (3,105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (10,377 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (21,699 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (3,988 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (13,562 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (22,188 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (2,899 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (73 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (14,494 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (15,365 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,411 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (3,512 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 153K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (4.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Classical (48.6%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 46.9% (90% CI: 42.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 373 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 0.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 46.0% (90% CI: 43.8%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.9%) win rate for white (56K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (83K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.8%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a 48.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-52.5%) win rate for white (460 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred is statistically balanced with a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.