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Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation

134K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.4%Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.6%Based on 134K games
0%48.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.6%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%3.7%49.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.b4
Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation
Analyzen=134K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 48.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.2% and 48.6%), based on 134K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +1.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.2% win rate (433 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.4% win rate (1,704 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.6% win rate (5,401 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (12,324 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.4% win rate (24,123 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (34,323 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.0% win rate (34,581 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.7% win rate (18,715 games)
  • 2500+: 49.6% win rate (2,470 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Blitz (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.1% win rate (23 games)
  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (45,245 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (72,801 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (15,447 games)
  • Classical: 48.7% win rate (558 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (170 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (769 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (756 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (175 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (2,140 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (2,649 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (599 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (3,728 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (6,818 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (1,716 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (6,732 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (13,683 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (3,491 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (209 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (8,769 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (20,882 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (4,457 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (215 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (11,794 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (19,360 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (3,370 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (9,011 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (8,107 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (1,584 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 74.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (2,085 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (376 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 88.1% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 134K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (2.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.0%) outperforms Classical (48.7%) by -1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 38.4%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 433 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 43.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.4%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.3%) win rate for white (73K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.8%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-52.2%) win rate for white (558 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Deferred Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.