TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation

64K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.3%Based on 64K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
49.3%3.3%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bb2
Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation
Analyzen=64K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.3%), based on 64K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.3% win rate (163 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.2% win rate (525 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (1,683 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (5,066 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (10,658 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (20,129 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (14,358 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.3% win rate (10,272 games)
  • 2500+: 51.6% win rate (1,287 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (17,838 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (40,103 games)
  • Rapid: 45.4% win rate (5,843 games)
  • Classical: 45.0% win rate (351 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (82 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (204 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (236 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (84 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (576 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (915 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (187 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,326 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (3,004 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (680 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 39.6% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (2,346 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (6,464 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (1,761 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (4,306 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (13,889 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (1,794 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (137 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (3,538 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (9,615 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (1,142 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (4,580 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (5,528 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (159 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 31.8% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (912 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (370 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 64K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (45.0%) by 5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 39.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 163 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.7%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 525 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.3%-46.5%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.6%-49.3%) win rate for white (351 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit, Abrahams Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.