TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation

3.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 52.9%Based on 3.3K games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.1%4.5%46.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nde2
Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation
Analyzen=3.3K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 51.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 52.9%), based on 3.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.6% win rate (43 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.7% win rate (100 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (179 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (337 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (602 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (737 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (860 games)
  • 2500+: 52.1% win rate (443 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (69%), worst in Rapid (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 69.2% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 51.3% win rate (1,660 games)
  • Blitz: 46.8% win rate (1,432 games)
  • Rapid: 46.4% win rate (213 games)
  • Classical: 64.7% win rate (7 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (75 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (94 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (203 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (189 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (340 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (372 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (331 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (480 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (363 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (387 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (56 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (443 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.3%) outperforms Rapid (46.4%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-61.8%) win rate for white, based on 100 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 41.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 44.4%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 337 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 602 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 737 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 860 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 443 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.3%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.6%-48.9%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 40.8%-52.0%) win rate for white (213 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Spielmann Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.