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Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense

262K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.1%Based on 262K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.8% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
48.9%3.9%47.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bb4
Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense
Analyzen=262K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.8% and 51.1%), based on 262K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +1.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.9% win rate (356 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.3% win rate (2,185 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (8,552 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.9% win rate (25,746 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.1% win rate (53,936 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (76,781 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (59,898 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (28,961 games)
  • 2500+: 47.5% win rate (5,553 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (36 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (72,561 games)
  • Blitz: 48.7% win rate (154,856 games)
  • Rapid: 47.9% win rate (33,342 games)
  • Classical: 44.6% win rate (1,173 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (227 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (1,149 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (934 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (3,385 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (4,508 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (646 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (7,795 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (15,314 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (2,572 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (62 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (12,273 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (34,336 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (7,012 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (307 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (15,567 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (48,860 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (11,850 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (497 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (14,243 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (36,498 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (8,895 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (255 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (13,367 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (13,326 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (2,222 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (4,555 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (962 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (36 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 262K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 49.9% win rate for white (26K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.0%) outperforms Classical (44.6%) by 5.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 356 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white (73K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.9%) win rate for white (155K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense has a 44.6% (90% CI: 42.2%-47.0%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Smith-Morra Gambit Accepted, Pin Defense is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.